We are developing the social individualist meta-context for the future. From the very serious to the extremely frivolous... lets see what is on the mind of the Samizdata people.

Samizdata, derived from Samizdat /n. - a system of clandestine publication of banned literature in the USSR [Russ.,= self-publishing house]

Forget the interblog gun wars…

Take a peek at On the Third Hand and you will see Kathy Kinsley urging the adoption of a weapon that when wielded resolutely against an ‘Islamic’ would-be hijacker, makes even the mightiest of handguns pale into insignificance… after all, a suicidal hijacker is hardly going to be afraid of being shot dead… but the prospect of getting their brains bashed out with one of these babies is likely to reduce them to paroxysms of idiot terror! Does the deviousness and innovation of the post-enlightenment mind know no bounds?

Stock up on them now before Charles Schumer starts demanding they be regulated and all purchasers licenced, thereby expanding the remit of the BATF yet further (renaming it the BATFS). It might be a good idea to bury a few in your deep freeze under the frozen peas where Federal snoops will not find them.

False Market Fundamentalism Syndrome

A further example of “why-oh-why-are-we-not-able-to-return-to-1890?” type commentary from paleo-conservatives (small c, as this applies to card-carrying Labour supporters as well as Tories), appears in the Thursday, January 3 edition of the Times newspaper (UK). Written by David Selborne, a leftist historian with strong authortarian leanings, in The Tories’ future can be found in their past, he chides the Tories for their concerns with freedom and urges them to come full-on and support the public sector instead.

As an example of Bourbon-style learning nothing and forgetting nothing, this takes some beating. (Consider the vast erosion of civil liberties and the Common law in the UK over the past 20 years). Selbourne has a valid point in bemoaning the neglect of civil society (Edmund Burke’s ‘little platoons’), but like most statists misses the obvious point that it has been the growth of the state, such as the monopoly education system, that has wreaked so much havoc. The poor man accuses the Tories of imposing market disciplines on schools. If only that were the case! I think we should arrive at a new name to describe the habit among such folk of accusing X of precisely the very opposite of what they are doing. Call it “false market fundamentalism syndrome,” perhaps.

Gun Wars: Samizdata strikes back!

Charles Dodgson at Through the Looking Glass takes us to task regarding our views on the interblog gunwars. Whilst some of his points just boil down to a matter of opinion, he also spectacularly misunderstands a few things. In this discussion we are dealing not so much with the rights or wrongs of guns but whether there is actually any point in owning arms as a hedge against tyranny.

Take, for example, Waco and Ruby Ridge. Both of them show American law enforcement at its absolute bloody worst, actually killing civilians; I would have liked to see some of the officers involved in these fiascoes go up on manslaughter charges at least. The victims in these cases had significant arsenals which proved, in the end, to do them no good at all. The reverse, if anything, at Waco at least; the Feds were at least nominally there to arrest the folks they wound up killing on weapons charges — if not for the guns, the Feds would never have showed up in the first place.

That is a strange way of looking at it, blaming the victims for, well, being the victims. It is rather like saying if people didn’t have valuable stuff worth stealing, they would not have to worry about being robbed. Certainly the US security apparatus is more than capable of picking off groups like the Branch Davidians or Randy Weaver if it is thus inclined, no argument there. Of course I would argue that looking at those incidents is rather incomplete unless you look at all the consequences, namely Oklahoma. One does not have to agree with or admire Tim McVeigh to see that the action he took in response to those events does seem to have raised awareness amongst the jackboot tendency in all governments that there can be costs to the application of tyranny beyond immediate calculation. If a few more Waco’s were to happen, I have no doubt more Oklahoma’s would have followed. Guns themselves are just part of the equation. It is just a matter of whether a critical mass of a society is involved or just a disliked fringe like the Branch Davidians.

Of course, I’m not arguing here that the answer to homicidal loons in the ATF is unilateral civilian disarmament.

Actually I suspect he is probably arguing for incremental civilian disarmament, but we’ll let that slide for now.

There are plenty of good reasons for responsible civilians to have access to firearms — self-defense, hunting for food, just plain sport. What I’m arguing against is the Samizdata crowd’s faith in gun ownership as a way for people to defend their other civil rights. When used for that purpose, the damn things just don’t seem to work.

It seems to have worked in Northern Ireland, regardless of whether or not you think Sinn Fein’s objectives are admirable or not. No superpower assistance required.

What makes the Samizdata claims here even harder to swallow is that they’re talking about loosely organized civilian irregulars repelling not just squads of rogue cops, but the combined United States military forces — the most fearsome military machine that has ever existed on the planet — on its own home ground. That may have made sense 200 years ago, when it’s how we kicked out the British. (Oh wait, it’s not. Never mind). But that was then; this is now.

Now here is where Charles really blows it. He seems to be describing a scenario in which a tyrannous US state is able to turn the US military, not just the thugs of BATF or the FBI, against a section of their own people without question. And just whose ‘home ground’ is Charles describing? The home ground of the families of those self same people in the US military. It is one thing killing Afghans from 20,000 feet up. It is rather different telling folks in the US military to fire on people in Kansas or Florida.

Forget the guns. Where are these guys getting the bullets? Sustained combat operations of any kind chew up ammo at a ferocious pace, and current American combat doctrine seems to begin with the interdiction of supply lines, disruption of communication channels, and destruction of stores. Camouflage can delay this a bit, but the activity around these sites is more than likely to give them away eventually. Any industrial-scale production is likely to glow like a beacon on IR. And it’s difficult to deny the United States Air Force air superiority over East Texas.

Here Charles has a very strange view of the nature of insurgency. The US had air superiority over South Vietnam too and it was that sort of thinking which lost that war. The US military has lots of lovely ammo and in such a scenario, that is where much of the insurgent’s supplies would come from… this is ‘Insurgency 101’ stuff to be honest.

And from there, the comparisons get even sillier. Take Algeria, where Islamic fundamentalists are trying to mount a rebellion against a secular government.

Actually I was referring to the Algerian war of independence against France, not the current fun and games. And interestingly many French make the same claims that ‘France won the war but just lost the will to fight’. Funny that.

Which leaves Northern Ireland. I’m not sure which collection of homicidal maniacs Perry has cast as the freedom fighters here, or what he thinks they’ve achieved, but I don’t think the upshot there was fully protective of anybody’s civil rights.

And here Charles entirely misses the point as well has having a rather poorly informed view of the realities on the ground. The political policies of the IRA are not the issue in this discussion, their methods are. The fact is, Northern Ireland is the best analogy of all. The British have been unable to force its rule on a significant armed section of society and if circumstances ever drove a significant section of US society to do the same, all the fancy toys in the hands of the US military would count for as much as they do for British Army in Northern Ireland. As for what armed violence has achieved, would you argue that the civil rights of Catholics in Northern Ireland are not better now than they were in 1968? Of course they are. And why do you think that is? Reasoned political discourse backed up by women singing kumbayah? I don’t think so. If enough people support it, even if it is only a minority within a minority, as is the case in Ulster, violent insurgency does indeed work.

I am not arguing that is what the US should be headed for, of course not, but the fact is that arms in civilian hands are far more effective against one’s own state than a foreign one and all manner of fancy tanks, ICVs, artillery, aircraft etc., do not make a damn bit of difference in those sort of situations. The RAF has air superiority over Ulster too.

A continental suicide pact via small doses of cumulative poison

Now that the Euro is a fait accompli, the long slow glide begins, perpetually pointed just below the distant horizon. The interest rates prevailing across a very significant area of the industrialised world will now be set to suit the business cycles of France and Germany. Many predict that once the economies of Europe are integrated like that of the United States, that will cease to be a matter of concern. And of course they are correct, once the fringe economies are flattened.

As the structure of Europe’s diversified economies are slowly legislated into highest common denominator standards of ‘social fairness’ in order to protect the interests of French and German trade unions, uncompetitive businesses and their social democratic backers, a gradual leaching process will set in. Economic cycles will continue as ever, but each down turn will squeeze the non-core economies just that little bit more each time, favouring the parts of the economies whose main role is to service highly regulated French and German dominated sectors, rather than independent global export or entirely domestic sectors.

When economic dunce Ross Perot predicted a ‘giant sucking sound’ of jobs heading south of the border into Mexico, he did not seem to realise that all manner of spontaneous market mechanisms were also inexorably moving to adjust, rather than destabilise, the economies of the United States and Mexico. Mexican interest rates and currency fluctuations, and not just lower labour costs, were also of huge importance. Although trade was greatly liberalised, there was never any attempt to impose the US dollar on Mexico (or Canada), or make the writ of Alan Greenspan extend over the whole of NAFTA.

All that is different in Europe because whereas NAFTA has purely economic objectives, the Euro has mostly political ones. Sophisticated and relatively efficient European core economies will no longer have to deal with defensive depreciation of Spanish, Italian, Greek or Irish etc. currencies and will simply wipe out pools of local capital that might have buoyed up less effective local producers. This in and of itself is not automatically a bad thing, provided the local capital markets can adjust… which of course they will not be able to do. The mid to late 1990’s surge in the US economy was a disaster for Argentina, whose currency was pegged to the greenback, because unlike the US, it was not experiencing an economic surge. No mechanism was readily and incrementally available to off-set the asymmetries by allowing the currency to naturally devalue. With the Euro, which is in effect an ersatz Deutschmark/Franc hybrid, this same toxic effect will happen to Greece, Italy, Ireland, Spain, Portugal etc. with one big difference… it will probably happen to many of them at once when the cycle begins, as it surely will.

Even the obvious aspiration to challenge the US dollar as a global reserve currency is doomed. The welfare states of Europe simply cannot compete on equal terms with the less regulated US economy, either in terms on underpinning asset returns or total global liquidity. For all its faults, such as the current lunatic credit binge, the dollar will remain the international reserve currency for the foreseeable future.

Although I have not been bullish on gold for a very long time, any European portfolio might do well to tuck a little yellow ‘mad money’ away and just forget about it for 10 years as a hedge against economic apocalypse, particularly as dollar interest rates are so unattractive right now. Anyone who is actually confident about the future of not just the Euro but the Euro zone, well I have this bridge in Australia I would like to sell you.

Samizdata quote of the day

Be at war with your vices; at peace with your neighbors, and let every New Year find you a better man

– Benjamin Franklin

Alarums and Excursions!

Hear the joyous cry from the minarets as they announce that the Fastest Burqa in Blogistan is back in business… spread the word around, guess who’s back in town?

Yes indeed, Natalie Solent had returned!

Ponderances for a Palindromatic Year

So we are told the year 2002 is significant because it reads the same beginning to end as end to beginning. We are somehow fortunate, if we are a certain age, to be alive for two of them (1991 being the other one). 2002 is significant for those of us of a libertarian ilk, however numerology has nothing to do with it.

We face a world in a flux, no more than usual, but in flux nonetheless. As I sit here writing this missive, Tony Blair is heading off to prevent a war on the Indian sub-Continent, convinced that his “president of the world” trick will prevent a 4th war between the two countries. Is Blair, even while still in office, to become the Jimmy Carter of the new century? Just the mere threat of his being sent to some far off land will make both sides question their motives for war. Blair will be appointed upon his retirement from Downing Street, UN “Meddler in Chief.”

No doubt the blind-man of justice, Blunkett is even now thinking of ways to ever erode Britons personal liberties. Is it me or is not odd that the Sheffield socialist now has more in common with a fundamentalist Christian mid-westerner than he does with his former socialist comrades.

One wonders if Blunkett and Ashcroft are in constant email contact regarding tactics on how to put their authoritarian plans in place. The only thing that is no mentioned is the punishment that dare not speak its name: the death penalty.

We live in a situation in the west, where to question the laws brought into help stop terrorism is to be seen as an appeaser. At the same time the sainted left in the media are allowed to be actual apologists for the terrorists. These people claim that the attacks on the 11th and since then are self-inflicted and deserved. The real apologists are allowed to operate, quite rightly, under the banner of a free press, yet free speech is being curtailed under awash of legislation.

2002 will no doubt see virtual countries coming into their fore, not for financial purpose,s but in order to protect one from prosecution. Data havens will become information havens where those who do not wish to follow the party line will be able to express their opinions freely outside the realms of persecution. Of course Europe and the UK now have the addition of Euro wide “arrest warrants” meaning that one can offend a Greek and be arrested in the UK, and sent there for trial. In case the Greek government wished to re-assure us, they spent the later part of 2001 harassing a bunch of airplane-spotting nerds. These spies would be some of the most incompetent in existence, sticking out like a black man at a Klan rally. If they are spies they could only be CIA, for no other intelligence service is that gormless.

It will be interesting to see if the EU uses these laws to start to shut down criticism of their utopian experiment Europe wide. No doubt this is more likely if the Euro has the wings of a turkey. Under the guise of “a threat to the economy of Europe” anti-Euro campaigners will be threatened with being dragged to Brussels for prosecution in Belgium’s notoriously speedy judicial system.

But I have gone off message. With all this going round in the world, what is the role of the libertarian activist? Are we to return to our sitting, chat and smoking rooms to ponder more theory? Are we to return to the underground and ponder when next to show our faces in normal political circles? Or do we have a role in attempting to hold back the authoritarian urges of both the traditional right and left? The socialists are seemingly impotent, more concerned with defending the “misunderstood” Islamists than defending their own liberties. In the extreme, Jack Straw has been heard boasting that his son has become a convert to Islam, a religion they both claim to be “inclusive” despite both Koranic verse and recent events.

I leave with this thought dear friends. What exactly are we the libertarian activists of the world to do in the coming days and months? What is our role in the post 9/11 world?

Of course in my case 9/11 is irrelevant, I carry on hammering on about classical liberalism until I die or Cthulhu rises from his slumber in R’Leth.

Andrew Ian Dodge

“What Sucks? Statism Sucks!

Comments about an announcement from the Ministry of Truth

Must say I admired David Carr’s ability to get hold of a transcript of the BBC broadcast of the first day of the euro note and coin (January 1). For a moment I thought it was a spoof, but it just looked too real for me!

Muslimpundit goes into overdrive!

Streuth! Take your eyes off Adil Farooq over at muslimpundit for a few days and he goes bananas! There is been a big update of all sorts of good stuff and in particular a lengthy piece regarding ‘Our friends, The Saudis’. Adil administers them a severe public blogging with a cat-o-nine-tails!

Check it out.

Samizdata quote of the day

Sic Semper Tyrannis!

– attributed to various, including John Wilkes Booth and the assassins of Roman tyrant Julius Caesar

Some new things at Samizdata for 2002 AD

The latest blog added to our sidebar listing is Emmanual Goldstein‘s Airstrip One. Whilst an impeccably libertarian blog, it would be fair to say Emmanual and us Samizdata folks tend to take some diametrically opposed positions on many issues.

We found it rather touching when Emmanuel described us here as ‘anarcho-militarists’ due to our loud cheering every time a B-52 flew over Afghanistan. However it has never been our policy to only link to libertarian (or other) sites that sing in perfect harmony with us… hell, we don’t sing in perfect harmony with us.

Also please note that we have a new contact e-mail address, reply@libertarian-samizdata.net. Yup, our plutocratic capitalist benefactors have finally diverted some of those sinister and shadowy illuminati funds our way and bought us a domain. Having got the sniff of money, we are now lobbying hard for a Libertarian Samizdata Jacuzzi large enough for the entire Samizdata Team to fit into (and special guests of course).

Echoes and ghosts over New Years

I am writing this more to understand what I feel than to tell anyone else anything. A few weeks ago I was in Belgrade and saw several good friends that I had not seen for a while. Yet most of them were people who, when the war came to what used to be Yugoslavia, had got out and moved in with friends in Hungary or Austria or Italy. Gradually during the war years we reestablished contact with telephone calls across those borders which were not sealed. We often met up to exchange gossip or seek information about missing friends over a coffee or a brandy in Budapest or Graz or Vienna or Ljubliana, neutral ground so to speak. Now most of them are back in Serbia as the Demon is gone and it is now possible to travel there with ease. And so our friendships continue, not quite as before, but they continue. But there are quite a few people who I lost contact with on those terrible days and weeks in 1991 as nightmare came upon us all, never to hear from them again or learn what happened to them, and for reasons I only half-understand myself, I have made no attempt to find them…and that is especially true of one person in particular.

A few weeks ago, I was invited to a New Years party in Vienna by an old friend of mine, a lovely Croatian woman married to a wonderful Austrian man. As we have many friends in common, I asked who else would be there and she told me. She mentioned many acquaintances and a few fine friends, but at the sound of one name, I almost dropped the phone. I had to wait a few moments before I could even speak. I wanted to ask her what she knew about him, where he had been, was he married? Where did he live now? What does he do for a living? Were his parents still alive? But I did not ask her any of those things. After just a moment I just told her I would come and that was that. I would meet Him again.

And so I went to that New Years party in Vienna, driving up from Croatia in my baby Mercedes and not telling my parents exactly who would be there. As I expected, the party was a charming extravagance, well attended, lively and disdainfully elegant in a manner in which the Austrians have no equal. Although I was quite unsettled at the idea of meeting Him, I was also determined to be cool and not over-think the situation. For a while I wondered if he would even recognised me: I was blonde then, my hair is black now. Silliness of course. I was looking around for him, trying not to look overly preoccupied and wondering if I should slap him or kiss him or laugh or cry. Maybe I would hug him and wish him well… or more likely curse him for disappearing that terrible morning when strange trucks appeared in my little town and the first crackle of Kalashnikovs from nearby told me that life as I had known it was ending, right here and right now. I rehearsed a few things in my mind, and then changed my mind, many many times.

And then I saw him and he saw me. It was a strange and electric moment. So I just smiled and said hello. And I realised that ten years and the jumble of events had produced such a confusing static of thoughts and emotions, that all that was left was the breath quickening spark of attraction. And so we talked about everything and nothing. He touched my dark hair, making me shiver, and I touched his face, running my finger along an unfamiliar scar. We drank and we danced and we chatted to mutual friends and once the old year had died, we left together. As we walked down the cold Viennese streets to where I was staying, we stopped talking but held onto each other as if afraid the other might disappear like mist. We did not say much at all for the rest of the night, but as daylight came I must have finally fallen asleep with him, time somehow telescoping ten years into a few hours.

Then as morning, or rather early afternoon came, I woke as he got up to dress. We exchanged a few words, smiling and laughing. He grinned when he could not find his undershirt and I realised how little and how much we have both changed. And finally more words, sweet lovely words that neither of us really believed as I felt him touch me again.. and then he was gone, just so many echoing footsteps as he trotted down that stone stairway outside. And if it was not for his tee shirt that I still held under the sheets, smelling of him, I would have said it was a dream, an echo like those footsteps.

I have never forgiven him for choosing an accident of birth over me when I needed him most, and I know for sure now that I never will. But I also know it does not matter. The past is the past and He is just a ghost heading eastwards, an echo of another time and another life, as I am to Him. In a few days I will drive to Milan. I am glad I came here and I am glad I am leaving. Vienna is full of ghosts.

[Editor’s note: this started out as a private e-mail to me from Natalija that I convinced her to make into a blog article]